Dr energysaver eugene1/7/2023 On how the GOP messages the economy to blue-collar vs. “Last cycle, if we used ‘defund the police’ in sort of Trumpian terms, we got the Republicans, but we alienated people that didn't like Trump. On how the issue of crime has evolved since 2020: … We think we have a really credible shot of beating him.” We've been able to take him to even on his image. “We had SEAN PATRICK MALONEY's image +8 in the summer. On the effort to defeat the head of the DCCC: We think this has the potential to be one of the really big flier pickup opportunities late - a race that we just shouldn't have been competing for and we think that we can win.” She's running against a moderate African American state senator named GEORGE LOGAN. We have now moved her 13 points negative, to -5. … We had JAHANA HAYES's image +8 in the summer. “A race that's gotten a lot of attention recently in Connecticut: This is a district Joe Biden won by 11 points. We've moved him 18 points negative on his image. Gonzalez's image was +12 over the summer. So this is the Rio Grande Valley in Texas, TX-34. “We have quite a few examples where we have moved incumbent Democrats double-digit negatives on their net favorability over the last seven weeks. If you're an incumbent and … you're more unpopular than you are popular, then you're in big trouble. “The thing we look for in incumbents is their image and what we can do to their image. On how CLF has effectively tarred Democratic incumbents: “If there is a fear, it’s: Do we get enough Republicans turning out in some of these blue-collar districts where we need a Trump-style turnout number in order to overcome an ancestrally Democrat district?” We think if you're at 47% or less at this point in the cycle, you're a sitting duck. “Of the 21 incumbents we’re spending against, we got 14 at 47% or less. On what he’s optimistic about, and what concerns him: And that says to us that, actually, the environment is a little bit better than the topline suggests.” We are moving numbers against Democrat incumbents with ease at this point. In 2018, very difficult to move numbers even when you a great message. It took us six weeks to move numbers last cycle. … If you're running in a tough political environment, you're swimming upstream, you’re not moving numbers. “What has changed since - and this is what I think is missed in the topline of a survey, but we are picking up in ours - is that we are moving Democrat images with ease. But it helped him with his base, and that brought the political environment a lot closer together: Where we had huge advantages prior, we then had kind of modest advantages. … It didn't help him with the middle - he's still losing independents by a country mile. A big part of it was BIDEN passing the Inflation Reduction Act, which helped with his base. “Democrats had an excellent July and August. On the shift in the political environment since the summer: What follows are some lightly edited highlights for our loyal newsletter readers: You can listen to the full interview here. We talked about the issues and demographics of this election, emerging GOP opportunities in the final days of the campaign and the inside strategies that one of the best-funded super PACs in American politics uses to take down its Democratic opponents. In a candid hour-plus interview, Coston took Playbook behind the scenes of CLF’s operation. KEVIN McCARTHY with the singular mission of making the California Republican speaker of the House.Īnd most forecasts suggest that Conston and CLF are on the verge of success. ![]() This week on the Playbook Deep Dive podcast, we chatted with the 37-year-old operative overseeing just such a budget.Ĭonston is the president of the Congressional Leadership Fund, the super PAC aligned with Rep. THE PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: DAN CONSTON - How would you spend a quarter of a billion dollars on the 2022 midterms? 6 adviser’s comments in leaked recording of New Mexico meeting hint at post-election efforts to overturn votes.” JUST POSTED - “‘Raise the challenge’: Eastman exhorts poll watchers to build a record,” by Heidi Przybyla: “Trump’s Jan. … What comes next: “Musk owns Twitter - and Washington awaits Trump’s return,” by Rebecca Kern Musk finally closed his purchase of Twitter late Thursday, and WaPo’s Faiz Siddiqui and Elizabeth Dwoskin report that he immediately fired a slate of top executives, including CEO PARAG AGRAWAL, CFO NED SEGAL, head of legal, policy and trust VIJAYA GADDE and general counsel SEAN EDGETT. Kevin McCarthy speaks during a weekly news conference at the U.S.
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